Pre-tourney Rankings
San Francisco
West Coast
2015-16
Overall
Predictive Rating-2.6#202
Expected Predictive Rating-1.6#189
Pace75.1#67
Improvement+1.2#134

Offense
Total Offense+1.5#133
First Shot-0.2#180
After Offensive Rebound+1.8#56
Layup/Dunks+3.9#33
2 Pt Jumpshots-4.1#337
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.1#164
Freethrows-0.1#179
Improvement+2.7#57

Defense
Total Defense-4.1#282
First Shot-4.4#302
After Offensive Rebounds+0.2#151
Layups/Dunks+1.1#134
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.0#111
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.1#341
Freethrows-1.4#269
Improvement-1.5#249
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 13, 2015 331   @ Illinois-Chicago W 78-75 75%     1 - 0 -6.6 -7.9 +0.7
  Nov 16, 2015 277   Rice W 80-54 77%     2 - 0 +15.6 -4.6 +19.5
  Nov 19, 2015 102   @ Fresno St. L 71-78 16%     2 - 1 +1.0 -1.0 +2.3
  Nov 21, 2015 234   UC Riverside W 58-57 67%     3 - 1 -6.3 -12.5 +6.3
  Nov 25, 2015 104   UC Santa Barbara L 61-68 33%     3 - 2 -5.0 -2.4 -3.4
  Nov 29, 2015 349   Delaware St. W 67-47 94%     4 - 2 +0.2 -1.8 +5.3
  Dec 01, 2015 205   Eastern Washington L 77-81 62%     4 - 3 -9.8 -3.7 -6.1
  Dec 04, 2015 153   @ Montana L 50-82 27%     4 - 4 -28.3 -18.2 -12.2
  Dec 07, 2015 238   Cal St. Northridge W 65-61 68%     5 - 4 -3.5 -5.1 +1.9
  Dec 18, 2015 329   Coppin St. W 96-93 OT 88%     6 - 4 -12.3 +1.1 -13.9
  Dec 21, 2015 39   @ St. Mary's L 52-74 7%     6 - 5 0 - 1 -8.1 -10.7 -0.2
  Dec 23, 2015 218   Pacific W 89-76 65%     7 - 5 1 - 1 +6.6 +15.2 -8.4
  Dec 31, 2015 203   Portland W 107-95 62%     8 - 5 2 - 1 +6.3 +16.9 -12.0
  Jan 02, 2016 27   Gonzaga L 94-102 OT 11%     8 - 6 2 - 2 +2.6 +9.8 -5.9
  Jan 07, 2016 263   @ San Diego W 73-65 53%     9 - 6 3 - 2 +4.6 +2.7 +1.9
  Jan 09, 2016 50   @ BYU L 92-102 8%     9 - 7 3 - 3 +3.3 +11.3 -6.5
  Jan 14, 2016 208   Loyola Marymount L 83-87 63%     9 - 8 3 - 4 -10.0 -3.0 -6.6
  Jan 16, 2016 129   Pepperdine L 84-98 42%     9 - 9 3 - 5 -14.5 +0.6 -13.4
  Jan 21, 2016 232   @ Santa Clara W 74-61 45%     10 - 9 4 - 5 +11.6 +3.2 +9.0
  Jan 28, 2016 203   @ Portland W 87-76 40%     11 - 9 5 - 5 +11.1 +5.3 +4.9
  Jan 30, 2016 27   @ Gonzaga L 48-86 5%     11 - 10 5 - 6 -21.6 -18.4 -3.0
  Feb 06, 2016 232   Santa Clara W 89-86 OT 67%     12 - 10 6 - 6 -4.2 -7.1 +2.2
  Feb 11, 2016 50   BYU L 89-114 17%     12 - 11 6 - 7 -17.6 +5.0 -18.4
  Feb 13, 2016 263   San Diego W 68-51 74%     13 - 11 7 - 7 +7.8 -3.8 +11.9
  Feb 18, 2016 129   @ Pepperdine W 82-72 23%     14 - 11 8 - 7 +15.3 +7.4 +7.4
  Feb 20, 2016 208   @ Loyola Marymount L 87-100 OT 41%     14 - 12 8 - 8 -13.2 -5.7 -4.6
  Feb 25, 2016 218   @ Pacific L 70-79 42%     14 - 13 8 - 9 -9.6 -1.6 -8.1
  Feb 27, 2016 39   St. Mary's L 72-84 16%     14 - 14 8 - 10 -4.0 +4.3 -9.0
  Mar 05, 2016 129   Pepperdine L 86-90 31%     14 - 15 -1.6 +7.5 -8.8
Projected Record 14.0 - 15.0 8.0 - 10.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected West Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 100.0 100.0 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



West Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10 100.0% 100.0
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%